Magnificent 7 Short Interest

Author:

Ihor Dusaniwsky

Managing Director of Predictive Analytics, S3 Partners

May 1, 2024

The Magnificent 7 stocks (GOOG\GOOGL, MSFT, AAPL, NVDA, AMZN, META, & TSLA) are the most widely held group of stocks in the U.S. with a total market cap of $13.5 trillion, or 27% of the entire $50.8 trillion U.S. market cap. The market caps of these seven stocks are even larger than the second largest market in the world, China at $11.5 trillion.

And as expected, their short interest is also outsized at a combined $127 billion, or 12% of the $1.08 trillion of total short interest of the U.S. market.

The Mag 7 also make up the top seven most shorted stocks in the U.S.:

Mag 7 Short Interest

Ticker

Total SI % Float

Short Interest

NVIDIA Corp

NVDA

1.14%

$24,057,730,053

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

0.78%

$22,829,886,520

Tesla Inc

TSLA

3.88%

$20,864,613,300

Apple Inc

AAPL

0.67%

$17,812,743,797

Amazon.com Inc

AMZN

0.79%

$13,192,928,562

Meta Platforms Inc

META

1.29%

$12,214,934,011

Alphabet Inc

GOOGL

0.98%

$9,519,665,877

Alphabet Inc

GOOG

0.74%

$6,504,892,223

Total Sector

1.41%

$126,997,394,343

Total U.S. Equity Short Interest

4.76%

$1,082,070,569,251

Mag 7 short interest has been increasing in 2024 despite the Nasdaq up over 5% for the year. Total short interest increased +17% from $109 billion to $127 billion in 2024, which consisted of $7.1 billion of additional short selling coupled with a $11.0 billion mark-to-market increase in the value of the existing share shorted. NVDA, MSFT and TSLA had the largest increase in short selling in 2024 while APPL and AMZN led the group in year-to-date short covering.

Mag 7 Short Interest (in $mm's)

Ticker

Short Interest

YTD Change

YTD Shares Shorted

YTD Ch MTM

NVIDIA Corp

NVDA

$24,058

$11,759

$2,263

$9,496

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

$22,830

$3,503

$2,156

$1,347

Tesla Inc

TSLA

$20,865

($670)

$4,047

($4,717)

Apple Inc

AAPL

$17,813

($3,023)

($963)

($2,059)

Amazon.com Inc

AMZN

$13,193

$76

($2,429)

$2,505

Meta Platforms Inc

META

$12,215

$2,498

$339

$2,159

Alphabet Inc

GOOGL

$9,520

$2,781

$1,504

$1,276

Alphabet Inc

GOOG

$6,505

$1,193

$177

$1,017

Total Sector

$126,997

$18,117

$7,093

$11,024

But over the last week we have seen mostly short covering in the group as their stock prices have trended upward. The Mag 7 mark-to-market value of shares shorted has increased by $8.9 billion over the last seven days and we have seen some squeeze related short covering in NVDA which was partially offset with increased short selling in MSFT, AAPL and META.

Mag 7 Short Interest (in $mm's)

Ticker

Short Interest

7D Change

7D Shares Shorted

7D Ch MTM

NVIDIA Corp

NVDA

$24,058

$1,221

($1,145)

$2,366

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

$22,830

$350

$278

$72

Tesla Inc

TSLA

$20,865

$5,636

$61

$5,575

Apple Inc

AAPL

$17,813

$1,116

$345

$771

Amazon.com Inc

AMZN

$13,193

$311

$40

$271

Meta Platforms Inc

META

$12,215

($717)

$602

($1,318)

Alphabet Inc

GOOGL

$9,520

$269

($316)

$584

Alphabet Inc

GOOG

$6,505

$747

$384

$363

Total Sector

$126,997

$8,932

$248

$8,684

Today’s price weakness, led by TSLA, has generated $3.3 billion of one day mark-to-market profits for Mag 7 short sellers and turning an unprofitable April into one with $3.0 billion of profits, +2.4%. Mag 7 shorts are still down -$9.0 billion, -7.7%, for the year.

Mark-To-Market P\L (in $mm's)

Ticker

Day MTM P\L

P\L %

MTD MTM P\L

P\L %

YTD MTM P\L

P\L %

NVIDIA Corp

NVDA

$454

1.89%

$1,388

5.51%

($9,882)

-46.38%

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

$690

3.02%

$1,735

7.41%

($581)

-2.77%

Tesla Inc

TSLA

$1,324

6.34%

($627)

-3.46%

$5,589

31.25%

Apple Inc

AAPL

$393

2.21%

$159

0.89%

$2,440

12.98%

Amazon.com Inc

AMZN

$62

0.47%

$27

0.21%

($2,109)

-16.75%

Meta Platforms Inc

META

$86

0.71%

$1,468

11.01%

($2,263)

-17.57%

Alphabet Inc

GOOGL

$164

1.72%

($703)

-7.68%

($1,354)

-17.32%

Alphabet Inc

GOOG

$108

1.66%

($447)

-7.77%

($851)

-16.24%

Total Sector

$3,281

2.58%

$3,000

2.38%

($9,010)

-7.67%

TSLA and AAPL are the two profitable year-to-date shorts of the seven, up $5.6 billion and $2.4 billion, respectively. While NVDA, META and AMZN were the laggards with -$9.8 billion, -$2.3 billion and -$2.1 billion of year-to-date mark-to-market losses.

Short interest in the Mag 7 stocks will always be high it represents an easy and cheap way to hedge the tech aspect of a portfolio. But the momentum of the market, especially the tech side, does dictate the majority of the variances of short interest on these seven companies. Over the past five years Mag 7 short interest averaged $86 billion with a low of $57 billion in 2022 and the $127 billion of short interest we are seeing now is a historical high for the Mag 7.

Date

Mag 7 Short Interest

12/31/2019

$ 58,654,482,948

6/30/2020

$ 59,723,505,519

12/31/2020

$ 90,798,967,223

6/30/2021

$ 94,089,861,335

12/31/2021

$ 92,542,454,858

6/30/2022

$ 76,033,440,298

12/31/2022

$ 57,353,521,368

6/30/2023

$ 98,476,091,570

12/31/2023

$ 108,880,113,208

4/30/2024

$ 126,997,394,343

5 Year Average

$ 86,354,983,267

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